Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 10.430315 12.242718 14.234170 16.578975 19.258226 22.217883 25.728381
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.979813 10.403388 13.312347 17.036957 21.652505 27.155616 34.181954
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.242337 8.913872 12.372364 17.123200 23.416431 31.396208 42.197217
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.032517 7.790788 11.606470 17.175539 24.981515 35.400837 50.197502
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.966321 6.624668 10.536222 16.571204 25.472725 37.909831 56.333706
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.314938 5.928484 9.991607 16.574027 26.722004 41.466777 64.105460
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.800202 5.341184 9.499703 16.546772 27.857697 44.882523 71.871518
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.559267 5.161961 9.613717 17.451799 30.465809 50.638510 83.474565
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.322698 4.943977 9.620935 18.159263 32.793780 56.107671 94.995716
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.134981 4.780884 9.691933 18.963510 35.325405 62.049250 107.622768
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.863267 4.403938 9.320564 18.934378 36.421896 65.727396 116.849115
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.554047 3.891584 8.619912 18.213098 36.222358 67.214375 122.551816
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.297385 3.448504 8.001397 17.590402 36.170823 69.002634 128.991719
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.149404 3.222182 7.788718 17.726739 37.520606 73.303888 139.991239
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.006753 2.979451 7.505096 17.682426 38.514376 77.031687 150.220446
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.887314 2.769327 7.260397 17.684401 39.586370 80.958081 161.026381
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.743214 2.461957 6.746898 17.044749 39.308297 82.351039 167.319786
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.657208 2.294482 6.535542 17.040059 40.314848 86.214466 178.361693
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.580966 2.137510 6.325150 17.009185 41.255232 89.999019 189.459721
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.558727 2.139613 6.516579 17.935221 44.316229 98.116518 209.225092
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.528344 2.109574 6.619795 18.659425 46.990214 105.617223 228.187140
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.503851 2.093671 6.758347 19.482942 49.945483 113.850449 248.988798
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.449494 1.963369 6.563822 19.453031 50.968140 118.192640 262.339316